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KMID : 1141520200350020435
Endocrinology and Metabolism
2020 Volume.35 No. 2 p.435 ~ p.442
Development and Validation of a Risk Scoring System Derived from Meta-Analyses of Papillary Thyroid Cancer
Suh Sung-Hwan

Goh Tae-Sik
Kim Yun-Hak
Oh Sae-Ock
Pak Kyoung-June
Seok Ju-Won
Kim In-Joo
Abstract
Background: The aim of this study was to develop a scoring system to stratify the risk of papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) and to select the proper management.

Methods: We performed a systematic search of MEDLINE and Embase. Data regarding patients¡¯ prognoses were obtained from the included studies. Odds ratios (ORs) with statistical significance were extracted from the publications. To generate a risk scoring system (RSS), ORs were summed (RSS1), and summed after natural-logarithmic transformation (RSS2). RSS1 and RSS2 were compared to the eighth edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system and the 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines for thyroid nodules and differentiated thyroid carcinoma.

Results: Five meta-analyses were eligible for inclusion in the study. Eight variables (sex, tumour size, extrathyroidal extension, BRAF mutation, TERT mutation, histologic subtype, lymph node metastasis, and distant metastasis) were included. RSS1 was the best of the analysed models.

Conclusion: We developed and validated a new RSS derived from previous meta-analyses for patients with PTC. This RSS seems to be superior to previously published systems.
KEYWORD
Thyroid cancer, papillary, Prognosis, Recurrence
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